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October 2009

Crisis in Honduras

What was really behind the removal of President Manuel Zelaya, and is he likely to be reinstated?

By José de Cordoba
AP

Zelaya and his supporters stormed an air force base in Tegucigalpa to seize the ballots for an election deemed illegal by the country’s Supreme Court.

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Zelaya, like Chávez, was soon battling most the country’s institutions. Last year, he refused to send Congress a budget by September 15, as required by the constitution. He blamed the world’s financial crisis for making it impossible to come up with numbers. But with no budget, Honduras couldn’t get new loans from donors like the International Monetary Fund. Julio Raudales, Zelaya’s former deputy minister, says the budgetary black hole cost the country some $400 million over the past year in lost funds.


Zelaya’s behavior greatly disappointed Cardinal Rodríguez, a respected figure and a top candidate to replace the late Pope John Paul II at the time of the pontiff’s death. Cardinal Rodríguez, who worked for nine years to get the international community to forgive $2.6 billion of Honduras’ foreign debt, blames Zelaya for using public money to promote his referendum instead of spending it on the poor. “We were good friends. But he changed drastically,” the Cardinal says. “It was Chávez.”


Zelaya also tried to buy the army’s loyalty, as Chávez has in part done in Venezuela. He more than doubled the military’s budget to $100 million in 2008 and offered the military a multi-million dollar contract to build an airport terminal. But the U.S.-trained military refused the offer.


Others saw Zelaya developing a Chávez-like megalomania. He often commandeered all of the country’s television channels for long speeches. Mirroring Chávez’s fascination with Venezuelan independence hero Simón Bolívar, who tried to unite much of Latin America, Zelaya asked El Salvador’s president if he could borrow the remains of Central America’s 19th century hero, Gen. Francisco Morazán, who is buried in El Salvador, so he could tour Central America with the bones to push regional integration.


There were other quirky moments. Zelaya took much of his cabinet along when he went scuba diving in a tourist development, wearing his Stetson until the last moment before hitting the water. Earlier this year, he skipped a meeting with donor countries to attend a private concert of Mexico’s Los Tigres del Norte, famed for their ballads honoring drug traffickers. Los Tigres serenaded Zelaya at the presidential palace with one of their hits Jefe de Jefes, or Boss of Bosses.


In December, Zelaya stunned the country’s business community when he arbitrarily hiked the country’s minimum wage by 60 percent to $289 a month. While the move was popular, it had a devastating impact on many small businesses. “We had to let go six out of 25 employees,” says Karoly Molinari, who manages her family’s auto rental business. Since then, about 100,000 people—out of a total of about 600,000 Hondurans registered for social security benefits—lost their jobs and were pushed out of Honduras’ formal economy, says Raudales.


But what really set Zelaya on a collision course with most of the establishment was what many Hondurans believed was his drive to perpetuate himself in power by rewriting the constitution to permit re-election—which is forbidden by Honduras’s charter. “He told me: Why can’t I get re-elected? Everybody’s doing it. Why can’t I do it?” says Facusse, the businessman, a former friend.


In the weeks before the referendum, the Supreme Court had ruled the vote illegal: First, only Honduras’ election agency, not the president, can call a referendum. Second, the article in Honduras’ constitution that bars re-election is unchangeable—so much so that even attempting to change it leads to automatic dismissal from public office.


When the military, following court rulings, refused to help distribute the ballots days before the referendum, the president fired the military’s chief of staff, Gen. Romeo Vásquez, and accepted the resignations of the heads of the army, navy and air force and defense minister. “I told the president we could not act against a court order. If we did so, we would be committing a crime,” says Orellana, the former defense minister, a close friend of Zelaya.


Two days later, tensions spiked when Zelaya, defying the courts, led a mob to seize the disputed ballots at an air force base. “That was traumatic for the armed forces,” says Orellana. “At that moment everyone said ‘The man is crazy. We have to get him out.’”


The Supreme Court responded by ordering Zelaya stripped of his office and arrested. The military carried out the order, but feared his arrest would spark violence. So the army sent Zelaya packing, breaking a constitutional article that states a citizen can’t be forcibly exiled. It also led to an image—a president in his pajamas forced out at gunpoint—that promoted the perception of the ouster as a coup.


Orellana, who had resigned days earlier because he believed Zelaya was breaking the law, also believes the soldiers’ action constituted a coup. “It’s the worse thing that could have happened,” he says.


Many others have found a new pride in the country’s refusal to buckle. “Let the world cancel its aid,” says Ramon Custodio, the interim government’s human rights ombudsman. “We will be austere and poor, but with our dignity and on our feet.”


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Dirk Pennington
2009-10-06 16:35:05

This article hits the issue on the nail. I have been to Honduras 4 times this year. My last trip was in August. Zelaya plastered the country with tv ads for a referendum to the constitution's 4 year term. There was no doubt in my mind that he was playing the citizens to come up with a change in the constitution to pave the way for his re-election. Zelaya is a liar and is only looking out for his own interests.

Aileen Zelaya
2009-10-09 16:08:18

Ramon Custodio has been the renown Honduran human rights ombudsman for decades, well known for protesting right-wing military efforts against leftists durning the 1980's and more recently anti-gang law enforcement efforts. It shocked many that he came out so clearly and forcefully against Zelaya and his supporters. That just gives you a little hint of how widespread and deeply felt the utter repudiation of Zelaya shinanigans is among the over-whelming majority of Hondurans. And even legal scholars at the US Library of Congress concluded after a careful study, that the removal of Zelaya was mandated by Honduran law, and that President Roberto Micheletti was installed constitutionally.

Alex Majthenyi
2009-10-17 23:48:06

Manuel Zelaya attempted to violate the Honduras Constitution and had to be removed from office. The Honduras Supreme Court ordered him stripped of his office and arrested. The army carried out the order. It was not a coup or a military coup. Perhaps It would have looked better if the police had arrested Zelaya and put him in jail but that would have been dangerous. The people of Honduras have the right to decide who they want to lead their country. Elections will take place on November 29th. The US, Brazil and others should step aside and abide by the OAS Charter. "Every State has the right to choose, without external interference, its political, economic, and social system and to organize itself in the way best suited to it, and has the duty to abstain from intervening in the affairs of another State." Charter of the Organization of American States, Chapter II, Principles, Article 3

DonM
2009-11-08 21:17:32

An interesting read for sure, but at the end there is need for correction. The Supreme Court did not "remove" Zelaya. The approved an indictment of Zelaya, finding the evidence sustained the charges. They then set their No. 2 to write up an arrest warrant both by unanimous vote. At no point did they put together any language about his removal from office, mention article 239. In fact in the arrest warrant they refer to the fact that he is the President, thus justifying using the Military to effect the arrest. They also required his remand, which means to be brought before the court for arraignment. Honduran law does not provide its chief executive any form of constitutional immunity (like in the US). The Law Library of Congress published a finding that the Honduran Congressional votes on the matter are what lawfully removed him. The citations of the legislation reflected appropriately powers afforded it in the Honduran Constitution - to effect Zelaya's removal for cause. The Law Library of Congress is an official non-partisan office in the legislative branch of the US Government. What is missing in this whole imbriglio is any official justification written in legal rational that outlines the events in late June as a Coup.

Carlos
2010-11-11 09:28:01

If Latin America ever wants to raise itself up it has to develop economic systems separate from models seen in the United States. Consumer driven economies only lead to disaster environmentally and socially. For all that is wrong with Castro and Chavez at least they tried. Applying the same solutions to the same problems will not work. Especially with a growing population.

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